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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2016 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OT)
WB
Willie Beavers
OT · Western Michigan
— · — · —
JH
Joe Haeg
OT · North Dakota St.
— · — · —
CT
Cole Toner
OT · Harvard
— · 6'5" · 306 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Willie Beavers
Predicted pick
#135
range #61–#233
Bust probability· rough estimate
16%
Consensus rank
#115
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Joe Haeg
Predicted pick
#71
range #15–#192
Bust probability· rough estimate
5%
Consensus rank
#122
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Cole Toner
Predicted pick
#81
range #25–#202
Bust probability· rough estimate
8%
Consensus rank
#117
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Willie Beavers· Offensive line
  • Joe Haeg· Offensive line
  • Cole Toner· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionWillie Beavers50
  • AthleticismWillie Beavers43
  • AgeJoe Haeg100
  • ConsensusWillie Beavers21
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Willie Beavers50
  • Breakout ageWillie Beavers50
  • WorkloadWillie Beavers50
  • RAS × productionWillie Beavers35

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Willie Beavers
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Joe Haeg
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Cole Toner
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Willie Beavers
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Joe Haeg
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Cole Toner
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Willie BeaversJoe HaegCole Toner· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Willie Beavers

−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age

Joe Haeg

+0.04 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting total career snaps

Cole Toner

+0.04 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting total career snaps