3 prospects · 2016 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Miles Killebrew (age 23.0 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #113 (range #99-#127, wide band). Bust probability sits at 6% — low. The call is a lean fade: the model sits 16 spots below the room's consensus #98 — don't pay sticker price. The 16-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.
−0.04 charting total career snaps; +0.04 charting coverage grade career avg; +0.04 charting run def grade career avg
−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age